Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DIA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.313202 0.342500 0.374551 0.412440 0.456304 0.505851 0.566573
2025-10-26 0.273910 0.311143 0.354315 0.408759 0.476595 0.559749 0.671717
2025-11-02 0.241656 0.281780 0.330240 0.394283 0.478627 0.588902 0.749487
2025-11-09 0.216295 0.257166 0.308066 0.377817 0.473826 0.606218 0.812501
2025-11-16 0.202164 0.244762 0.299368 0.376852 0.488262 0.650465 0.922065
2025-11-23 0.194608 0.239807 0.299418 0.387020 0.518776 0.722042 1.090895
2025-11-30 0.185130 0.231324 0.293643 0.387867 0.534991 0.773544 1.238881
2025-12-07 0.175890 0.222358 0.286256 0.385255 0.544993 0.815874 1.381400
2025-12-14 0.167129 0.213387 0.278045 0.380366 0.550321 0.850465 1.518463
2025-12-21 0.158400 0.203884 0.268319 0.372096 0.548733 0.871786 1.633033
2025-12-28 0.154519 0.201019 0.268075 0.378652 0.573249 0.946996 1.904162
2026-01-04 0.151938 0.199826 0.270158 0.389032 0.605797 1.045087 2.283860
2026-01-11 0.145637 0.192950 0.263305 0.384247 0.610326 1.086491 2.530400
2026-01-18 0.141203 0.188616 0.260113 0.385402 0.626419 1.157712 2.920662
2026-01-25 0.134417 0.180393 0.250276 0.374104 0.616332 1.165016 3.090750
2026-02-01 0.127474 0.171639 0.239149 0.359720 0.598425 1.149916 3.168440
2026-02-08 0.123891 0.167888 0.235884 0.359219 0.609287 1.210561 3.613849
2026-02-15 0.122572 0.167552 0.238116 0.368874 0.643005 1.341186 4.536716
2026-02-22 0.119661 0.164572 0.235779 0.369750 0.657503 1.422510 5.325143
2026-03-01 0.116341 0.160800 0.231900 0.367357 0.664228 1.482870 6.090051
2026-03-08 0.112844 0.156609 0.227102 0.362818 0.665378 1.526463 6.826430
2026-03-15 0.109003 0.151728 0.220906 0.355113 0.658090 1.540959 7.369862
2026-03-22 0.107694 0.150889 0.221634 0.361232 0.685406 1.682684 9.509858